Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.340842 2.556008 2.786439 3.052300 3.351474 3.678756 4.065263
2025-11-09 1.972498 2.254832 2.575624 2.969676 3.444209 4.001723 4.712950
2025-11-16 1.753416 2.070692 2.446833 2.930668 3.543868 4.305210 5.338124
2025-11-23 1.604348 1.944132 2.360873 2.917426 3.653333 4.610810 5.981161
2025-11-30 1.524585 1.890475 2.353149 2.992580 3.872025 5.068067 6.870733
2025-12-07 1.423171 1.797787 2.283392 2.973708 3.954880 5.340421 7.524483
2025-12-14 1.331663 1.709472 2.209915 2.939228 4.006705 5.566361 8.128702
2025-12-21 1.227647 1.596332 2.093238 2.832134 3.939964 5.604988 8.437511
2025-12-28 1.173926 1.547882 2.061499 2.842326 4.044673 5.910031 9.212103
2026-01-04 1.132956 1.513990 2.046960 2.874863 4.183647 6.279468 10.142253
2026-01-11 1.097398 1.485121 2.036904 2.911893 4.330700 6.674244 11.170609
2026-01-18 1.063228 1.455880 2.023773 2.941965 4.467229 7.062935 12.242718
2026-01-25 1.025926 1.420826 2.000978 2.956960 4.583304 7.434741 13.356392
2026-02-01 0.969212 1.353904 1.925845 2.882136 4.539324 7.513424 13.888705
2026-02-08 0.926255 1.305465 1.876265 2.845256 4.557321 7.706845 14.692025
2026-02-15 0.892211 1.268834 1.842885 2.832604 4.616475 7.983420 15.723419
2026-02-22 0.879245 1.263948 1.859221 2.904981 4.836356 8.599345 17.648892
2026-03-01 0.848108 1.228977 1.824963 2.886814 4.884356 8.871880 18.803372
2026-03-08 0.816058 1.191073 1.783871 2.853615 4.900158 9.077995 19.830108
2026-03-15 0.772374 1.132780 1.706385 2.750474 4.770943 8.959345 19.986367
2026-03-22 0.752901 1.112750 1.691730 2.760291 4.866632 9.343279 21.577850
2026-03-29 0.738490 1.100268 1.689030 2.791631 5.008131 9.846748 23.620831
2026-04-05 0.725573 1.089624 1.688795 2.827293 5.161364 10.396626 25.938535